Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.653596 4.298548 5.046531 5.983570 7.133623 8.508770 10.292074
2025-01-05 2.647209 3.426702 4.440938 5.879314 7.902836 10.703718 14.974107
2025-01-12 2.209927 3.042758 4.211409 6.014220 8.805281 13.102937 20.514159
2025-01-19 1.853589 2.672408 3.888816 5.891287 9.235684 14.852288 25.597985
2025-01-26 1.708951 2.572521 3.926539 6.299816 10.571320 18.403146 35.103866
2025-02-02 1.565835 2.444811 3.888030 6.559532 11.697935 21.902392 45.995510
2025-02-09 1.456717 2.351174 3.883153 6.866638 12.977875 26.091038 60.368874
2025-02-16 1.335558 2.217129 3.782492 6.968100 13.865538 29.733631 75.316234
2025-02-23 1.237794 2.109139 3.709322 7.104112 14.856639 33.951504 94.271636
2025-03-02 1.129644 1.967378 3.550110 7.029100 15.348438 37.108618 112.019216
2025-03-09 1.057868 1.884021 3.491105 7.156357 16.357224 42.026238 139.174601
2025-03-16 0.975919 1.770963 3.356066 7.086578 16.851987 45.682780 164.525872
2025-03-23 0.897470 1.667310 3.250497 7.128612 17.844649 51.927455 209.650736
2025-03-30 0.812518 1.542353 3.086827 7.014075 18.436503 57.479077 260.329469
2025-04-06 0.759799 1.476009 3.039197 7.179541 19.926193 67.201924 348.656528
2025-04-13 0.692986 1.370511 2.885237 7.028058 20.374359 73.280569 426.679175
2025-04-20 0.673041 1.364240 2.961817 7.532090 23.237018 91.826440 637.445852
2025-04-27 0.643882 1.333150 2.972970 7.853198 25.620167 110.437638 909.053497
2025-05-04 0.619733 1.310201 3.000456 8.233546 28.437003 134.267301 1333.137277
2025-05-11 0.586100 1.260495 2.950779 8.359357 30.305055 154.909278 1825.966770
2025-05-18 0.557285 1.218857 2.916033 8.528124 32.474023 180.259609 2561.309610
2025-05-25 0.521262 1.155249 2.811829 8.435031 33.422225 198.611933 3317.583387
2025-06-01 0.497374 1.119384 2.779913 8.592986 35.704406 230.593960 4738.512254